Preparing Your SaaS Company for Sale: Maximising Your Exit Multiple
The multiple you achieve is largely determined 18-24 months before you launch a process. Here is what to do and when.
The 18-24 Month Preparation Timeline
- --Begin monthly ARR waterfall tracking (new, expansion, contraction, churn)
- --Identify and address the top 3 churn causes
- --Start building expansion motion (upsell playbook, CS-led growth)
- --Audit customer concentration -- begin reducing dependence on any single customer >15% ARR
- --Achieve CFO-grade financials: audited or audit-ready P&L, balance sheet, cash flow statement
- --Document ARR waterfall with quarterly cohort analysis
- --Clean up cap table: resolve convertible notes, side letters, option pool issues
- --Begin reducing burn rate toward Rule of 40 / breakeven pathway
- --Engage M&A advisor for market test and positioning
- --Build data room: financials, ARR data, contracts, IP, employment agreements
- --Prepare management presentation
- --Define go/no-go multiple threshold before process launch
- --Launch competitive process: teaser + CIM to 15-25 strategic and financial buyers
- --First-round bids (Letter of Intent)
- --Select top 3-5 for second-round management presentations
- --Final bids -> exclusivity -> diligence -> signing -> close
What Buyers Focus on in Diligence
| Diligence Item | What Buyers Want to See |
|---|---|
| ARR waterfall | Monthly new/expansion/contraction/churn for 24 months |
| Customer list | ARR by customer, contract terms, renewal dates, NPS |
| Cohort analysis | LTV by cohort, payback period, gross retention by year |
| Sales metrics | Win rates, ACV trend, sales cycle, pipeline coverage |
| Gross margin detail | COGS breakdown: hosting, support, implementation |
| Burn and runway | Monthly cash flow, burn multiple, runway at current burn |
| Contracts | MSAs, order forms, IP assignment, non-competes |
| Cap table | Fully diluted, including all options and warrants |
| Key person dependencies | Who can the business not function without? |
| Technical diligence | Code quality, security posture, tech debt assessment |
| Legal/compliance | Pending litigation, IP ownership, data privacy |
| Customer concentration | Top 10 customers as % of ARR; top 1 must be <15% |
How to Frame Your Valuation in a Process
The first offer is a data point, not the answer. Buyers open below their walk-away price to anchor the negotiation. A founder who accepts the first offer typically leaves 20-40% on the table. The mechanism for achieving a premium multiple is a competitive process with multiple buyers bidding simultaneously.
Running multiple strategic and financial buyers in parallel creates genuine competitive tension. When a strategic buyer knows that a PE firm is also bidding, they price in their synergy premium rather than anchoring to DCF economics. This is why competitive M&A processes with investment bankers running them achieve higher multiples than bilateral negotiations.
- x Selling at trough (depressed multiples) vs peak market conditions
- x Selling to the first bidder with no competitive tension
- x Weak data room that creates buyer doubt during diligence
- x Undisclosed customer concentration or churn issues discovered mid-process
- x Founder who appears emotionally attached and unwilling to negotiate
- x Cap table complexity that creates closing risk (preferred share issues)